Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TPV vs KuPS Akatemia

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Toijala T.
9' Event
Hautakangas P.
14'
Sub
Rantala T. In: Jadama L.
Out: Rantala T.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between TPV and KuPS Akatemia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
TPV
30%
Draws
23%
KuPS Akatemia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TPV a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV KuPS Akatemia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs KuPS Akatemia
4:2
Jul 18, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs KuPS Akatemia
3:1
Apr 24, 2026 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs TPV
3:0
Aug 27, 2005 Kakkonen East
TPV vs KuPS Akatemia
3:1
Jun 5, 2005 Kakkonen East
KuPS Akatemia vs TPV
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostiainen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozcelik B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hautakangas P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 65 / 100
KuPS Akatemia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV KuPS Akatemia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS Akatemia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

TPV scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

TPV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS KuPS Akatemia
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV

(Home)
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
11 Aug
TPV
1 : 1
SalPa
Page 1 of 6

KuPS Akatemia

(Away)
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
16 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
2 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)