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TPV vs Tampere Utd

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Tammelan Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kovaqi A.
25' Event
Huhtala J.
29' Event
Heikkinen J.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between TPV and Tampere Utd finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tampere Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
TPV
40%
Draws
29%
Tampere Utd
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampere Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
Tampere Utd Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV Tampere Utd
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs Tampere Utd
0:3
Apr 15, 2026 Suomen Cup
TPV vs Tampere Utd
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Tampere Utd vs TPV
2:4
Sep 13, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Tampere Utd
1:5
Jul 2, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Tampere Utd
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tampere Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovaqi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huhtala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 30 / 100
Tampere Utd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV Tampere Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

TPV scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

TPV has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tampere Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS Tampere Utd
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere Utd14101328:931
2RoPS Rovaniemi1484230:1528
3JJK Jyvaskyla1574439:2625
4SalPa1465329:2423
5OLS Oulu1564529:2222
6Keski-Uusimaa1363426:1821
7VJS1355325:1820
8FC Inter Turku 21443725:3915
9Jazz Pori1452715:2214
10TPV1434716:2413
11KuPS Akatemia1423924:349
12KPV Kokkola14221012:478