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TPV vs VPS 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Play Offs Tammelan Stadion
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Dieter R. In: Ozcelik B.
Out: Dieter R.
46'
Sub
Keturi O. In: Autio L.
Out: Keturi O.
52' Event
Almen A.

AI Match Summary

TPV in this Kakkonen Play Offs matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
TPV
30%
Draws
34%
VPS 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • VPS 2 have won more games recently than TPV.
  • Model gives TPV a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
VPS 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV VPS 2
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Kakkonen Play Offs
VPS 2 vs TPV
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 Kakkonen Play Offs
TPV vs VPS 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Toijala T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostiainen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

VPS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 34 / 100
VPS 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV VPS 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

TPV found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

VPS 2 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: TPV stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS VPS 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Honka5
HJS2
VJS14
GBK Kokkola2
Ilves 21
JBK0
VPS 24
TPV5
Final
Honka3
VJS4
Ilves 21
TPV5