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TPV W vs FC United W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2017 Tammelan Stadion
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AI Match Summary

TPV W play FC United W in the Ykkonen Women 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, TPV W averaged 0.86 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. FC United W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, TPV W won 1, FC United W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 9, 2017 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for TPV W and 1.75 for FC United W. This points to a FC United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
TPV W
15%
Draws
48%
FC United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV W picked up more points recently compared to FC United W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
TPV W Clean Sheet 12%
FC United W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV W FC United W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.86 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.2 2.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2017 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
FC United W vs TPV W
0:1
May 21, 2017 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPV W vs FC United W
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV W 36 / 100
FC United W 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV W FC United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC United W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TPV W attacking → ← attacking FC United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV W scored in 54% of their last 35 games.

FC United W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

TPV W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC United W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 24
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00