Sport Picks

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TRA United vs Biashara Mara United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Lembo P.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Lembo P.

AI Match Summary

TRA United in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
TRA United
39%
Draws
30%
Biashara Mara United
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Biashara Mara United haven't matched TRA United's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • TRA United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor TRA United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
TRA United Clean Sheet 27%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRA United Biashara Mara United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Biashara Mara United
2:0
Jun 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs TRA United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lembo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Biashara Mara United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 33 / 100
Biashara Mara United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRA United Biashara Mara United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biashara Mara United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: TRA United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

TRA United scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TRA United

(Home)
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0
TRA United
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
TRA United
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1
Coastal Union
16 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0
TRA United
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Biashara Mara United

(Away)
16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0
Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0
TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
JKT Tanzania4
TRA United0
TBD-
TBD-
TRA United-
TBD-
Mbeya Kwanza0
Biashara Mara United4
Final
JKT Tanzania-
TBD-
TRA United2
Biashara Mara United1