Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium

Coastal Union

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TRA United play Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, TRA United averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1 conceded. Coastal Union averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, TRA United won 1, Coastal Union won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jun 24, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for TRA United and 1.19 for Coastal Union. This points to a TRA United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

TRA United

35%

Draws

29%

Coastal Union

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

TRA United picked up more points recently compared to Coastal Union.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

TRA United Clean Sheet 20%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TRA United	Coastal Union
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	8	9
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.1	1.07
Goals Conceded	1	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Coastal Union

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Feb 1, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs TRA United

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs TRA United

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Dec 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Coastal Union

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Mar 3, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Coastal Union

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulid M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 36 / 100

Coastal Union 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TRA United Coastal Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TRA United or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TRA United attacking → ← attacking Coastal Union

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TRA United scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Coastal Union let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

TRA United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Coastal Union lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 39

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9