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TRA United vs Coastal Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
TRA United Logo

TRA United

1 - 1
FT
Coastal Union Logo

Coastal Union

Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Kombo N.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Maulid M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
TRA United
30%
Draws
41%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Coastal Union average 1.21 goals a game right now, well clear of TRA United's 1.1.
  • Win probability leans TRA United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
TRA United Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRA United Coastal Union
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs TRA United
1:1
Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Coastal Union
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs TRA United
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs TRA United
1:1
Dec 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Coastal Union
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulid M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 36 / 100
Coastal Union 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRA United Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Coastal Union conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: TRA United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

TRA United scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Coastal Union
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TRA United

(Home)
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Coastal Union

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)