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TRA United vs Fountain Gate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TRA United host Fountain Gate in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Fountain Gate have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while TRA United have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor TRA United slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.76) point toward TRA United. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
TRA United
35%
Draws
24%
Fountain Gate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Fountain Gate haven't matched TRA United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans TRA United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
TRA United Clean Sheet 20%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRA United Fountain Gate
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Fountain Gate
1:2
Feb 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs TRA United
1:4
Feb 17, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs TRA United
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Fountain Gate
1:3
Apr 4, 2024 Federation Cup
Fountain Gate vs TRA United
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 40 / 100
Fountain Gate 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRA United Fountain Gate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

TRA United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

TRA United scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Fountain Gate
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TRA United

(Home)
24 Oct
TRA United
0 : 0
Young Africans
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
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Fountain Gate

(Away)
25 Oct
Geita Gold
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
16 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 1
Pamba
09 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 2
JKT Tanzania
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 8 6 1 1 17:4 19
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 JKT Tanzania 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
5 Dodoma Jiji 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
6 Polisi Tanzania 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
7 Namungo 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
8 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
9 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
11 Coastal Union 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
13 TRA United 8 1 4 3 6:7 7
14 Pamba 9 1 3 5 10:15 6
15 Kagera Sugar 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
16 Fountain Gate 9 1 3 5 5:13 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)