Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium

TRA United

1 - 2

Fountain Gate

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Nganzi A.

36'

Lazarus J.

44'

Kada I.

Assist: Abushiri J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between TRA United and Fountain Gate finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fountain Gate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

TRA United

20%

Draws

38%

Fountain Gate

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

TRA United carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans TRA United's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

TRA United Clean Sheet 19%

Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TRA United	Fountain Gate
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	8	6
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Feb 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs TRA United

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Feb 17, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs TRA United

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Sep 20, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 60% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Apr 4, 2024 Federation Cup

Fountain Gate vs TRA United

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarus J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Fountain Gate Compare

Top Goalscorer Kada I.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 42 / 100

Fountain Gate 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TRA United Fountain Gate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: TRA United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Fountain Gate lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Fountain Gate

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9