Sport Picks
TRA United vs Fountain Gate
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora 
Match Events
21'
21'
Nganzi A.
36'
36'
Lazarus J.
44'
44'
Kada I.
Assist: Abushiri J.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between TRA United and Fountain Gate finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fountain Gate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TRA United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- TRA United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans TRA United's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
TRA United Clean Sheet 20%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TRA United | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Fountain Gate
1:2
Feb 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs TRA United
1:4
Feb 17, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs TRA United
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Fountain Gate
1:3
Apr 4, 2024 Federation Cup
Fountain Gate vs TRA United
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TRA United Compare
Top Goalscorer Lazarus J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Fountain Gate Compare
Top Goalscorer Kada I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TRA United 85 / 100
Fountain Gate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TRA United Fountain Gate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TRA United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fountain Gate has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: TRA United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Fountain Gate lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TRA United VS Fountain Gate
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
TRA United
(Home) 13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 TRA United
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
24 May
TRA United
1 : 2 Fountain Gate
20 May
TRA United
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 3
Fountain Gate
(Away) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
14 Aug
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Fountain Gate
27 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0 Fountain Gate
24 May
TRA United
1 : 2 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
