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Stadium Background

Trabzon FK vs Bursaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Gunes S.
Assist: Sarikaya M.
77' Event
Furat E. I.
Assist: Berisbek R.
81' Event
Karakus E.
Assist: Unal V.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Trabzon FK and Bursaspor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trabzon FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Trabzon FK
11%
Draws
80%
Bursaspor
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bursaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bursaspor are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trabzon FK here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Trabzon FK Clean Sheet 16%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trabzon FK Bursaspor
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 22
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Trabzon FK vs Bursaspor
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Bursaspor vs Trabzon FK
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Bursaspor vs Trabzon FK
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Trabzon FK vs Bursaspor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trabzon FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunes S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karakus E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Furat E. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trabzon FK 11 / 100
Bursaspor 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trabzon FK Bursaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trabzon FK found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Bursaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Trabzon FK remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trabzon FK VS Bursaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trabzon FK

(Home)
25 Apr
Trabzon FK
4 : 5
Menemenspor
19 Apr
Kirklarelispor
1 : 2
Trabzon FK
12 Apr
Trabzon FK
1 : 3
Isparta 32 Spor
04 Apr
Adanaspor AS
0 : 3
Trabzon FK
28 Mar
Trabzon FK
0 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
Page 1 of 7

Bursaspor

(Away)
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5
Bursaspor
19 Apr
Bursaspor
5 : 1
Soma Spor
12 Apr
Ankara Demirspor
0 : 1
Bursaspor
04 Apr
Bursaspor
2 : 0
Mardin 1969
28 Mar
Fethiyespor
1 : 1
Bursaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)