Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Papara Park, Trabzon
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Yalcin G.
Assist: Karaca E.
24'
Lima N.
46'
Sub
Aliti F. In: Akdag U.
Out: Aliti F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Alanyaspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Trabzonspor
28%
Draws
22%
Alanyaspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Trabzonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Trabzonspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Trabzonspor a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Trabzonspor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trabzonspor, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 20%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trabzonspor Alanyaspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor
4:3
Jan 8, 2025 Turkish Cup
Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trabzonspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yalcin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trabzonspor 49 / 100
Alanyaspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trabzonspor Alanyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trabzonspor scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Alanyaspor has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Trabzonspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trabzonspor VS Alanyaspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trabzonspor

(Home)
22 May
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Genclerbirligi
13 May
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
09 May
Besiktas
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
02 May
Trabzonspor
1 : 1
Goztepe
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Alanyaspor

(Away)
16 Jul
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Tikves
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
09 May
Alanyaspor
3 : 1
Kayserispor
03 May
Antalyaspor
0 : 0
Alanyaspor
27 Apr
Alanyaspor
2 : 3
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams