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Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Papara Park, Trabzon
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Salah M.
19' Event
Shomurodov E.
(Penalty)
22'
Kemen O.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Trabzonspor and Basaksehir finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trabzonspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Trabzonspor
15%
Draws
34%
Basaksehir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trabzonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Trabzonspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Trabzonspor a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trabzonspor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 16%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trabzonspor Basaksehir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Turkish Cup
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
2:4
Nov 24, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
3:4
Mar 15, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trabzonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Salah M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Basaksehir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trabzonspor 57 / 100
Basaksehir 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trabzonspor Basaksehir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trabzonspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Trabzonspor scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Basaksehir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Basaksehir's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trabzonspor VS Basaksehir
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trabzonspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0
Galatasaray
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1 : 0
Trabzonspor
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0
Genclerbirligi
31 Aug
Amedspor
2 : 1
Trabzonspor
27 Aug
Ferencvaros
4 : 0
Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 6

Basaksehir

(Away)
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)