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Tractor vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Breno
35'
Sedlar A.
52'
Beiranvand A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tractor
30%
Draws
34%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tractor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tractor's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tractor Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tractor Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Tractor vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:3
Mar 9, 2026 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Tractor
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Tractor
1:1
May 5, 2015 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Tractor
3:2
Mar 4, 2015 AFC Champions League
Tractor vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tractor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezatolahi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateusao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tractor 36 / 100
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tractor Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tractor scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Tractor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tractor VS Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.88
20% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tractor

(Home)
14 Apr
Tractor
0 : 3
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
26 Feb
Tractor
1 : 0
Gol Gohar
22 Feb
Malavan
1 : 1
Tractor
17 Feb
Al-Gharafa
0 : 2
Tractor
10 Feb
Tractor
0 : 2
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 5

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

(Away)
13 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
16 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Bataeh
10 May
Bani Yas
2 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
Al Nasr
29 Apr
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3 : 3
Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
Vissel Kobe3
Seoul1
Al Ahli SC1
Al-Duhail0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Johor DT3
Machida Zelvia1
Gangwon0
Al Ittihad1
Al Wahda0
Buriram United F.C.2
Melbourne City1
Tractor0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Quarter-finals
Al-Sadd3
Vissel Kobe4
Al Ahli SC2
Johor DT1
Machida Zelvia1
Al Ittihad0
Buriram United F.C.2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe1
Al Ahli SC2
Machida Zelvia1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
Final
Al Ahli SC1
Machida Zelvia0