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Tractor vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Breno
35'
Sedlar A.
52'
Beiranvand A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tractor
35%
Draws
30%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tractor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tractor's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Tractor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tractor Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tractor Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Tractor
1:0
Apr 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Tractor vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:3
Mar 9, 2026 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Tractor
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Tractor
1:1
May 5, 2015 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Tractor
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tractor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezatolahi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateusao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tractor 42 / 100
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tractor Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tractor scored in 70% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Tractor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tractor VS Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tractor

(Home)
14 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 0
Tractor
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Tractor
05 Sept
Tractor
1 : 0
Gol Gohar
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Tractor
28 Aug
Chadormalu
0 : 2
Tractor
Page 1 of 5

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

(Away)
02 Oct
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 0
Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
05 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 3
Al Jazira
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal 3
Al Sadd 4
Vissel Kobe 3
Seoul 1
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Duhail 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Johor DT 3
Machida Zelvia 1
Gangwon 0
Al Ittihad 1
Al Wahda 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Melbourne City 1
Tractor 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Quarter-finals
Al Sadd 3
Vissel Kobe 4
Al Ahli SC 2
Johor DT 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Al Ittihad 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Machida Zelvia 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 0
Final
Al Ahli SC 1
Machida Zelvia 0