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Tralee vs Salthill

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Tralee advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tralee
30%
Draws
54%
Salthill
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salthill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Salthill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Salthill taking it.
  • Salthill arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tralee, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tralee Clean Sheet 20%
Salthill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tralee Salthill
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2009 FAI Cup
Tralee vs Salthill
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tralee 10 / 100
Salthill 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tralee Salthill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salthill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salthill has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tralee's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tralee stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Salthill
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tralee

(Home)
23 Apr
Youghal
2 : 1
Tralee
16 Apr
Tralee
0 : 0
Youghal
30 Mar
Tralee
0 : 4
Waterford
23 May
Tolka
3 : 0
Tralee
16 May
Tralee
2 : 2
Tolka
Page 1 of 2

Salthill

(Away)
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
15 Aug
Salthill
0 : 4
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2