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Tranent FC vs Gala Fairydean Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Thomson C.
53' Event
Lyons J.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Daramola T.
Assist: Brett D.

AI Match Summary

Tranent FC in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tranent FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Tranent FC
35%
Draws
10%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tranent FC lately — more wins on the board than Gala Fairydean Rovers.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Tranent FC taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tranent FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranent FC Gala Fairydean Rovers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.72 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
2:1
Mar 25, 2026 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Tranent FC
1:3
Oct 16, 2024 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Tranent FC
1:2
Sep 3, 2024 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranent FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daramola T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gala Fairydean Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranent FC 76 / 100
Gala Fairydean Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranent FC Gala Fairydean Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranent FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranent FC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Tranent FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gala Fairydean Rovers has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tranent FC VS Gala Fairydean Rovers
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranent FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Broxburn Athletic
1 : 1
Tranent FC
03 Oct
Tranent FC
3 : 1
Turriff United
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
Page 1 of 6

Gala Fairydean Rovers

(Away)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)