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Tranent FC vs Gretna 2008

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Tranent FC host Gretna 2008 in the Lowland League 2025/2026. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tranent FC have averaged 1.63 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Gretna 2008's 0.75 scored and 3 conceded. Past meetings favor Tranent FC slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 13, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.31 - 0.88) back Tranent FC to edge this. Tranent FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tranent FC
6%
Draws
4%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tranent FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gretna 2008.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tranent FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Lowland League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranent FC Gretna 2008
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Gretna 2008
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Tranent FC
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Gretna 2008
3:1
Sep 17, 2024 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Tranent FC
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Tranent FC
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranent FC 85 / 100
Gretna 2008 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranent FC Gretna 2008

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranent FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Gretna 2008 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tranent FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gretna 2008 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tranent FC VS Gretna 2008
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linlithgow Rose34243789:3975
2Clydebank FC34234794:3973
3Bonnyrigg Rose34216779:4269
4Tranent FC34207763:3267
5Caledonian Braves341851175:4859
6Cumbernauld Colts341751272:5356
7Broxburn Athletic341571268:6152
8Berwick341471362:6849
9Boness United341461461:5648
10Celtic B3412101273:7146
11Cowdenbeath341291351:5345
12Gala Fairydean Rovers341321952:6641
13Albion Rovers341231948:7139
14Civil Service Strollers341151840:7938
15Stirling University34971855:8234
16Hearts B34781942:7829
17Gretna 200834772050:9028
18East Stirlingshire34532648:9418