Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Whitfield B.
37'
37'
Whitaker C.
41'
41'
Jennings C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Burton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Burton come out ahead of Tranmere on wins alone.
- Model gives Tranmere a 42% chance of winning this.
- Burton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Burton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Burton have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 20%
Burton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tranmere | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2025 EFL Cup
Tranmere vs Burton
1:2
Nov 22, 2022 EFL Trophy
Burton vs Tranmere
2:1
Dec 26, 2019 League One
Burton vs Tranmere
4:2
Sep 21, 2019 League One
Tranmere vs Burton
2:1
Mar 21, 2015 League Two
Tranmere vs Burton
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Whitaker C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Whitfield B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tranmere 42 / 100
Burton 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tranmere Burton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Burton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Tranmere has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tranmere found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Tranmere VS Burton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tranmere
(Home) 19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2 Rotherham
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2 Rotherham
15 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0 Blackpool
Page 1 of 3
Burton
(Away) 19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Mansfield
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
22 Aug
Leicester
1 : 2 Burton
28 Jul
Solihull Moors
1 : 1 Burton
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0 Burton
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
