Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tranmere vs Fleetwood Town

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Bristow E. In: Whitaker C.
Out: Bristow E.
46'
Sub
Ennis E. In: McCann L.
Out: Ennis E.
54'
Potter F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Fleetwood Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tranmere
35%
Draws
39%
Fleetwood Town
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fleetwood Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fleetwood Town come out ahead of Tranmere on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Fleetwood Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fleetwood Town, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 20%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranmere Fleetwood Town
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Fleetwood Town
1:0
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Tranmere vs Fleetwood Town
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere
0:0
Feb 11, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Fleetwood Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranmere Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fleetwood Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Helm M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranmere 36 / 100
Fleetwood Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranmere Fleetwood Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranmere went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tranmere's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fleetwood Town conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tranmere VS Fleetwood Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranmere

(Home)
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2
Rotherham
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2
Tranmere
22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1
Tranmere
Page 1 of 6

Fleetwood Town

(Away)
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0
Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1
Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Oldham
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2
Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3