Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Prenton Park, Birkenhead

Tranmere

Tue, Sep 9, 2025

3 - 2

06:00 PM

Nottingham U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Smith F.

Assist: Sillah L.

17'

Turnbull J.

Assist: Solomon S.

18'

Solomon S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Tranmere advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tranmere

15%

Draws

54%

Nottingham U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Tranmere haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
Nottingham U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Tranmere, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Tranmere Clean Sheet 16%

Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tranmere	Nottingham U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	16
Draws	3	3
Losses	21	10
Goals Scored	0.86	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 EFL Trophy

Tranmere vs Nottingham U21

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Turnbull J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Davison J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.34

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Thompson K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranmere 23 / 100

Nottingham U21 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tranmere Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tranmere found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Tranmere stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nottingham U21 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tranmere VS Nottingham U21

0.63 Goals Scored 1.71

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.71

50% Over 1.5 71%

38% Over 2.5 57%

13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranmere

(Home)

01 Aug

Tranmere

2 : 3

Rochdale

18 Jul

Tranmere

2 : 0

Blackpool

02 May

Tranmere

1 : 1

Grimsby

25 Apr

Milton Keynes Dons

3 : 0

Tranmere

21 Apr

Cheltenham

1 : 3

Tranmere

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Nottingham U21

(Away)

11 May

Nottingham U21

1 : 2

Norwich U21

04 May

Peterborough U21

0 : 1

Nottingham U21

27 Apr

Nottingham U21

3 : 2

Charlton U21

03 Apr

Nottingham U21

2 : 0

Crystal Palace U21

20 Mar

Nottingham U21

3 : 0

Newcastle Utd U21

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