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Trastevere Calcio vs Albalonga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Crescenzo D.
88' Event
Crescenzo D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Trastevere Calcio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Trastevere Calcio
15%
Draws
34%
Albalonga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Trastevere Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Trastevere Calcio taking it.
  • Trastevere Calcio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trastevere Calcio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 14%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trastevere Calcio Albalonga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Albalonga
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Albalonga
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Trastevere Calcio
2:2
Mar 27, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Trastevere Calcio
1:3
Nov 14, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Albalonga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Crescenzo D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Albalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trastevere Calcio 57 / 100
Albalonga 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trastevere Calcio Albalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Albalonga let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Albalonga has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trastevere Calcio VS Albalonga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trastevere Calcio

(Home)
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1
Monastir
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 0
Trastevere Calcio
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Albalonga

(Away)
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4
Scafatese
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1
Monastir
12 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 2
Albalonga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Trastevere Calcio 2
Albalonga 0
Monastir 3
Flaminia 3
Final
Trastevere Calcio 0
Monastir 1