Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trastevere Calcio vs Nuova Florida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Tortolano E.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Mastropietro A.
54' Event
Jelicanin N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 game between Trastevere Calcio and Nuova Florida finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trastevere Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Trastevere Calcio
30%
Draws
23%
Nuova Florida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Nuova Florida haven't matched Trastevere Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Trastevere Calcio's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 18%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trastevere Calcio Nuova Florida
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Nuova Florida
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Trastevere Calcio
1:1
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Nuova Florida vs Trastevere Calcio
0:3
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Nuova Florida
1:1
May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Nuova Florida
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mastropietro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Nuova Florida Compare

Top Goalscorer Jelicanin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trastevere Calcio 41 / 100
Nuova Florida 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trastevere Calcio Nuova Florida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio scored in 79% of their last 39 games.

Defensive concern: Nuova Florida conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Trastevere Calcio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trastevere Calcio VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trastevere Calcio

(Home)
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0
Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 8

Nuova Florida

(Away)
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2
Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3
Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2
Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0
Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)