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Trastevere Calcio vs Porto D'Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trastevere Calcio play Porto D'Ascoli in the Serie D - Group F 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trastevere Calcio averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Porto D'Ascoli averaged 0.77 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Trastevere Calcio won 2, Porto D'Ascoli won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 7, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Trastevere Calcio and 1.19 for Porto D'Ascoli. This points to a Trastevere Calcio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Trastevere Calcio
35%
Draws
25%
Porto D'Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Trastevere Calcio picked up more points recently compared to Porto D'Ascoli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trastevere Calcio Porto D'Ascoli
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Porto D'Ascoli
1:1
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Trastevere Calcio
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Trastevere Calcio
0:3
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Porto D'Ascoli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Tortolano E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Porto D'Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Napolano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trastevere Calcio 40 / 100
Porto D'Ascoli 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trastevere Calcio Porto D'Ascoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trastevere Calcio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trastevere Calcio attacking → ← attacking Porto D'Ascoli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Porto D'Ascoli let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Trastevere Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Porto D'Ascoli lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 34
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pineto34219450:2172
2Vigor Senigallia34207752:3467
3Trastevere Calcio34188856:4162
4Fano341861045:3460
5Cynthialbalonga341313832:2352
6Matese3412111144:3847
7Sambenedettese341381339:3746
8Calcio Chieti3412101229:2746
9Porto D'Ascoli341015928:2745
10Vastogirardi3410131130:3142
11Nuova Florida341191433:4442
12Avezzano341171635:4140
13Roma City349101529:4237
14Vastese348121437:4336
15Termoli345191025:3434
16Notaresco Calcio346131523:4131
17Montegiorgio347101721:3431
18US Tolentino347101725:4131