Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trastevere Calcio vs Sarrabus Ogliastra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Crescenzo D.
50'
51' Event
Murgia A.

AI Match Summary

Trastevere Calcio in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trastevere Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Trastevere Calcio
30%
Draws
16%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Trastevere Calcio have won more games recently than Sarrabus Ogliastra.
  • Model gives Trastevere Calcio a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trastevere Calcio Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.79 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
3:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Trastevere Calcio
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Trastevere Calcio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Crescenzo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Falilo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Murgia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demarcus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trastevere Calcio 42 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trastevere Calcio Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Trastevere Calcio found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Sarrabus Ogliastra conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Trastevere Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trastevere Calcio VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trastevere Calcio

(Home)
18 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra
11 Oct
Aranova
2 : 0
Trastevere Calcio
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0
Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
Page 1 of 7

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
18 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra
11 Oct
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Afragolese
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)