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Trat FC vs Chainat Hornbill

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Trat Provincial Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Trat FC play Chainat Hornbill in the Thai League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trat FC averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Chainat Hornbill averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Trat FC won 2, Chainat Hornbill won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Trat FC and 1.25 for Chainat Hornbill. This points to a Trat FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Trat FC
25%
Draws
33%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Trat FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Trat FC picked up more points recently compared to Chainat Hornbill.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Trat FC Clean Sheet 19%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trat FC Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Trat FC vs Chainat Hornbill
3:3
Dec 13, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Trat FC
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Trat FC
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Thai League 2
Trat FC vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Mar 4, 2023 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Trat FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trat FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Paing T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crislan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarildo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trat FC 42 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trat FC Chainat Hornbill

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trat FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trat FC attacking → ← attacking Chainat Hornbill

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trat FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Chainat Hornbill let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Trat FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chainat Hornbill lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00