Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Nelson
87'
87'
Mahata P.
90'
90'
Gopalan S.
AI Match Summary
Indian Navy in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to TRAU FC lately — more wins on the board than Indian Navy.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- TRAU FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Indian Navy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
TRAU FC Clean Sheet 18%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TRAU FC | Indian Navy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 20 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.80 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 Durand Cup
TRAU FC vs Indian Navy
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TRAU FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Nelson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Indian Navy Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahata P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gopalan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TRAU FC 36 / 100
Indian Navy 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TRAU FC Indian Navy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Indian Navy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.
TRAU FC scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: TRAU FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
TRAU FC VS Indian Navy
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.8
100% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
TRAU FC
(Home) 24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2 Chhaygaon
22 May
Raengdai
2 : 0 TRAU FC
20 May
KLASA
1 : 1 TRAU FC
18 May
TRAU FC
0 : 1 Baghpat
16 May
Sunrise Club
0 : 0 TRAU FC
Page 1 of 6
24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2 Chhaygaon
18 May
TRAU FC
0 : 1 Baghpat
04 May
TRAU FC
2 : 0 CD Salgaocar
28 Apr
TRAU FC
2 : 2 Mumbay FC
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 3
Indian Navy
(Away) 16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1 Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
07 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 0 Indian Navy
01 Aug
Indian Navy
2 : 1 Real Kashmir
13 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 0 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 4
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1 Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
07 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 0 Indian Navy
13 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 0 Indian Navy
31 Jul
Bengaluru FC
4 : 0 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Bengal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Namdhari | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indian Air Force (New Delhi) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6:13 | 1 |
| 4 | South United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohun Bagan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Diamond Harbour | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Mohammedan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Border Security Force | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamshedpur | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Army Red | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Nepal Army | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 Ladakh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodoland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Minerva Punjab | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Indo-Tibetan Border Police | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Karbi Anglong | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North East United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Lajong | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 6 |
| 3 | ATM FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 4 | Rangdajied United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indian Navy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Real Kashmir | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | NEROCA | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 4 | TRAU FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams