Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TRAU FC vs NEROCA

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

72'
Rogers A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
TRAU FC
35%
Draws
32%
NEROCA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • NEROCA's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what TRAU FC have produced (1.07).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor NEROCA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
TRAU FC Clean Sheet 20%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRAU FC NEROCA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Durand Cup
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Durand Cup
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 I-League 2
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs TRAU FC
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 I-League
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRAU FC 31 / 100
NEROCA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRAU FC NEROCA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRAU FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: NEROCA conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

TRAU FC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: TRAU FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TRAU FC VS NEROCA
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TRAU FC

(Home)
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1
Indian Navy
03 Aug
TRAU FC
3 : 4
Raengdai
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2
Chhaygaon
22 May
Raengdai
2 : 0
TRAU FC
Page 1 of 6

NEROCA

(Away)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 NEROCA 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Langsning 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
3 Nongkseh 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Mumbay FC 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 FC 1 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)