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Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tre Fiori have averaged 1.94 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Fiorentino's 1.59 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Tre Fiori slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward Tre Fiori. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tre Fiori
20%
Draws
23%
Fiorentino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tre Fiori have won more games recently than Fiorentino.
  • Model gives Tre Fiori a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Tre Fiori have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tre Fiori, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tre Fiori here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 13%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori Fiorentino
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.94 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Coppa Titano
Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino
2:0
May 7, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori
0:2
May 4, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 40 / 100
Fiorentino 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori Fiorentino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tre Fiori scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Fiorentino let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Tre Fiori went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS Fiorentino
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Fiori

(Home)
23 Oct
Tre Penne
0 : 0
Tre Fiori
10 Oct
San Giovanni
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
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Fiorentino

(Away)
10 Oct
SC Faetano
0 : 6
Fiorentino
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -