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Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Super Cup Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, Acquaviva
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
3 - 2
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Prandelli M.
13' Event
Mengucci P.
55' Event
Berardi F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tre Fiori
30%
Draws
30%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tre Fiori lately — more wins on the board than La Fiorita.
  • Model gives Tre Fiori a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Tre Fiori have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor La Fiorita, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori La Fiorita
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Super Cup
Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita
3:2
May 23, 2026 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori
2:2
May 17, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mengucci P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Berardi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonetti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 95 / 100
La Fiorita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori La Fiorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Fiori found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

La Fiorita let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tre Fiori stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS La Fiorita
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Fiori

(Home)
10 Oct
San Giovanni
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
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La Fiorita

(Away)
09 Oct
La Fiorita
3 : 0
SS Murata
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Tre Fiori 3
La Fiorita 2