Sport Picks
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
68'
68'
Prandelli M.
Assist: Benedettini F.
75'
75'
Domini T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Tre Fiori and SS Pennarossa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tre Fiori come out ahead of SS Pennarossa on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Tre Fiori taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Fiori | SS Pennarossa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa
5:2
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Titano
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Fiori Compare
Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
SS Pennarossa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Fiori 95 / 100
SS Pennarossa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Fiori SS Pennarossa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tre Fiori scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
SS Pennarossa let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Tre Fiori stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tre Fiori VS SS Pennarossa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Fiori
(Home) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4 Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
06 Aug
Tre Fiori
1 : 4 Drita
Page 1 of 4
SS Pennarossa
(Away) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1 SS Pennarossa
12 Apr
SP Cosmos
0 : 1 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
