Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tre Penne vs La Fiorita

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

77'
Grandoni A.
79' Event
Errico S.
90' Event
Bartoli T.

AI Match Summary

Tre Penne in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Penne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tre Penne
11%
Draws
9%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tre Penne lately — more wins on the board than La Fiorita.
  • Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Penne La Fiorita
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 19 18
Draws 10 11
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs La Fiorita
0:1
May 9, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Penne
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs La Fiorita
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Penne
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Penne
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Penne Compare

Top Goalscorer Errico S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bartoli T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

La Fiorita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Penne 86 / 100
La Fiorita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Penne La Fiorita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tre Penne scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

La Fiorita has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Tre Penne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Penne VS La Fiorita
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2