Sport Picks
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
29'
29'
Badalassi I.
Assist: Turchetta G.
34'
34'
Pieri R.
Assist: Nigretti G.
51'
51'
Fabbri F.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Tre Penne and San Giovanni finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Penne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
15%
14%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- San Giovanni haven't matched Tre Penne's recent run of results.
- Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tre Penne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Penne | San Giovanni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 1 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.45 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Penne
2:3
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni
4:0
Feb 10, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Penne
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Penne
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Badalassi I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pieri R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
San Giovanni Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Penne 95 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Penne San Giovanni
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tre Penne scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Tre Penne stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
San Giovanni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tre Penne VS San Giovanni
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Penne
(Home) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1 SP Domagnano
12 May
Tre Penne
0 : 1 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 3
San Giovanni
(Away) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
26 Apr
Tre Penne
4 : 0 San Giovanni
07 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 0 San Giovanni
15 Mar
Folgore
2 : 2 San Giovanni
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
