Sport Picks
Tre Penne vs SC Faetano Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
26'
26'
Casadio P.
Assist: Peluso L.
30'
30'
Badalassi I.
(Penalty)
78'
78'
Berardi F.
AI Match Summary
Tre Penne in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Penne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
20%
9%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Tre Penne have won more games recently than SC Faetano.
- Model gives Tre Penne a 71% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tre Penne have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Penne | SC Faetano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.01 | 0.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SC Faetano
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Penne
0:6
Jan 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SC Faetano
5:0
Sep 13, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Penne
0:4
Feb 4, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Penne
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Casadio P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berardi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1
SC Faetano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Penne 95 / 100
SC Faetano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Penne SC Faetano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tre Penne found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: SC Faetano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Tre Penne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tre Penne VS SC Faetano
1.88 Goals Scored 0.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Penne
(Home) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1 SP Domagnano
12 May
Tre Penne
0 : 1 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
SC Faetano
(Away) 18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1 SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0 SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1 SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4 Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0 SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1 SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0 SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1 SC Faetano
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0 SC Faetano
26 Apr
SP Cosmos
2 : 0 SC Faetano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
