Sport Picks

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Treasure Beach vs Portmore

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Steths Sports Complex, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cohen D.
26' Event
Porter R.
89' Event
Robinson R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Treasure Beach
15%
Draws
42%
Portmore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treasure Beach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Treasure Beach haven't matched Portmore's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 68%
Portmore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treasure Beach Portmore
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Portmore
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Treasure Beach
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Portmore
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Portmore
1:3
Nov 5, 2023 Premier League
Portmore vs Treasure Beach
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Porter R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chambers A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robinson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treasure Beach 41 / 100
Portmore 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treasure Beach Portmore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treasure Beach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Portmore conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Treasure Beach has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Treasure Beach's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Treasure Beach VS Portmore
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treasure Beach

(Home)
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2
Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
Page 1 of 6

Portmore

(Away)
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)