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Treasure Beach vs Tivoli

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Steths Sports Complex, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Dunn J.
23' Event
Titus O.
45' Event
Campbell S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Treasure Beach and Tivoli finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treasure Beach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Treasure Beach
15%
Draws
0%
Tivoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treasure Beach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tivoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Treasure Beach a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 68%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treasure Beach Tivoli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
4:2
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
4:2
Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Treasure Beach
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
0:5
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Tivoli vs Treasure Beach
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Titus O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunn J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treasure Beach 95 / 100
Tivoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treasure Beach Tivoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treasure Beach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Away concern: Tivoli has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tivoli has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Treasure Beach stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treasure Beach VS Tivoli
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treasure Beach

(Home)
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
24 Apr
Waterhouse
1 : 2
Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 6

Tivoli

(Away)
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2
Cavalier
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
27 Apr
Molynes United
2 : 0
Tivoli
22 Apr
Montego Bay
5 : 1
Tivoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)