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Treaty United vs Finn Harps Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field, Limerick
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Manning R.
39'
Yoro E.
40'
Hutchison M.

AI Match Summary

Treaty United in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Treaty United
15%
Draws
28%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treaty United lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 19%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Finn Harps
2:1
Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
0:1
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Finn Harps
3:0
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Curtis C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manning R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 32 / 100
Finn Harps 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Finn Harps registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Treaty United found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Finn Harps
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
02 Oct
Treaty United
0 : 4
UC Dublin
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
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Finn Harps

(Away)
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 34 22 5 7 71:34 71
2 Bray 34 15 8 11 65:49 53
3 UC Dublin 34 15 7 12 61:48 52
4 Cobh Ramblers 34 14 7 13 46:50 49
5 Longford 34 13 9 12 47:45 48
6 Kerry 34 13 9 12 42:40 48
7 Athlone 34 13 9 12 41:40 48
8 Wexford 34 11 8 15 40:51 41
9 Treaty United 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
10 Finn Harps 34 6 7 21 31:68 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)