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Treaty United vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Manning R.
39'
Yoro E.
40'
Hutchison M.

AI Match Summary

Treaty United in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Treaty United
20%
Draws
38%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treaty United lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
  • Win probability leans Treaty United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 20%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Finn Harps
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
0:1
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Finn Harps
3:0
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Finn Harps
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Curtis C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manning R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 42 / 100
Finn Harps 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Treaty United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Finn Harps has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Finn Harps
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822