Sport Picks

Ireland

FAI Cup 2024 Markets Field

Kilbarrack Utd

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Treaty United play Kilbarrack Utd in the FAI Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Treaty United averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Kilbarrack Utd averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Treaty United won 1, Kilbarrack Utd won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 19, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Treaty United and 1.44 for Kilbarrack Utd. This points to a Treaty United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Treaty United

26%

Draws

19%

Kilbarrack Utd

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Treaty United picked up more points recently compared to Kilbarrack Utd.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Treaty United Clean Sheet 16%

Kilbarrack Utd Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Treaty United	Kilbarrack Utd
Matches Played	30	5
Wins	8	1
Draws	9	0
Losses	13	4
Goals Scored	1	0.6
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 FAI Cup

Treaty United vs Kilbarrack Utd

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 53 / 100

Kilbarrack Utd 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Treaty United Kilbarrack Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treaty United Win (1)

Secondary Pick Treaty United & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Treaty United attacking → ← attacking Kilbarrack Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treaty United scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Kilbarrack Utd let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Treaty United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kilbarrack Utd lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 3

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00