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Treaty United vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treaty United host Longford in the Division 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Treaty United have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Longford's 2 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Treaty United have won 1 to Longford's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.81) back Longford to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Treaty United
11%
Draws
80%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Longford have won more games recently than Treaty United.
  • Model gives Longford a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 11%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Longford
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Treaty United
3:1
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Longford
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Longford
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Treaty United
2:0
May 23, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Longford
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 10 / 100
Longford 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longford has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Treaty United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Treaty United found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Longford
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822