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Treaty United vs UC Dublin Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field, Limerick
Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treaty United host UC Dublin in the Division 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Treaty United at 1.03 goals for, 1.45 against; UC Dublin at 1.86 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor UC Dublin slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.88) point toward UC Dublin. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Treaty United
20%
Draws
36%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • UC Dublin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Treaty United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 10%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United UC Dublin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Treaty United
1:2
Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
0:3
Feb 27, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Treaty United
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 47 / 100
UC Dublin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United UC Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treaty United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treaty United's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UC Dublin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Treaty United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS UC Dublin
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

UC Dublin

(Away)
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)