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Stadium Background

Treaty United vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field, Limerick
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Foley K.
29' Event
Rowe M.
(Penalty)
29'
Sub
Lynch R. In: Regan B.
Out: Lynch R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Treaty United and Wexford finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wexford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Treaty United
15%
Draws
42%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wexford come out ahead of Treaty United on wins alone.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 20%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Wexford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Wexford
0:1
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Treaty United
0:0
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Wexford
1:0
Mar 27, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Treaty United
3:2
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Treaty United
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 31 / 100
Wexford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Wexford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treaty United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treaty United's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wexford conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Wexford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Wexford
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

Wexford

(Away)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)