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Treaty United W vs Cork City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McGuane M.
26' Event
Lawlee K.
34' Event
Goggin E.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Treaty United W and Cork City W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treaty United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Treaty United W
30%
Draws
8%
Cork City W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Treaty United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Treaty United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Treaty United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Treaty United W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Treaty United W Clean Sheet 68%
Cork City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United W Cork City W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.16 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Cork City W
5:0
May 9, 2026 All-Island Cup Women
Cork City W vs Treaty United W
0:0
Mar 28, 2026 National League Women
Cork City W vs Treaty United W
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 National League Women
Cork City W vs Treaty United W
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Cork City W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United W Compare

Top Goalscorer McGuane M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lawlee K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cork City W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United W 95 / 100
Cork City W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United W Cork City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treaty United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cork City W conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Treaty United W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Treaty United W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United W VS Cork City W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 1
Treaty United W
19 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Peamount W
12 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 4
Athlone W
05 Sept
Galway United W
0 : 0
Treaty United W
29 Aug
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Bohemians W
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Cork City W

(Away)
03 Oct
Shamrock Rovers W
4 : 1
Cork City W
19 Sept
Cork City W
1 : 2
Waterford W
12 Sept
Peamount W
0 : 0
Cork City W
05 Sept
Cork City W
0 : 3
Sligo Rovers W
29 Aug
Galway United W
3 : 2
Cork City W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athlone W 20 16 3 1 47:14 51
2 Shelbourne W 20 12 5 3 40:19 41
3 Galway United W 20 11 6 3 27:16 39
4 Shamrock Rovers W 20 10 4 6 39:23 34
5 Sligo Rovers W 20 8 7 5 35:28 31
6 Wexford W 20 8 6 6 34:25 30
7 Treaty United W 20 8 6 6 25:18 30
8 Bohemians W 20 6 5 9 22:29 23
9 Peamount W 20 5 3 12 23:38 18
10 Waterford W 20 3 6 11 17:40 15
11 DLR Waves W 20 4 2 14 12:35 14
12 Cork City W 20 1 3 16 13:49 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)