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Treaty United W vs Shelbourne W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Penner C.
19' Event
Damico O.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Treaty United W and Shelbourne W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Treaty United W
20%
Draws
42%
Shelbourne W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shelbourne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shelbourne W come out ahead of Treaty United W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shelbourne W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shelbourne W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Treaty United W Clean Sheet 10%
Shelbourne W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United W Shelbourne W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 24
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Shelbourne W
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 National League Women
Shelbourne W vs Treaty United W
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 National League Women
Shelbourne W vs Treaty United W
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 All-Island Cup Women
Shelbourne W vs Treaty United W
6:0
May 3, 2025 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Shelbourne W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Penner C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Shelbourne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Damico O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United W 22 / 100
Shelbourne W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United W Shelbourne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shelbourne W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Treaty United W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Treaty United W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shelbourne W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United W VS Shelbourne W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 1
Treaty United W
19 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Peamount W
12 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 4
Athlone W
05 Sept
Galway United W
0 : 0
Treaty United W
29 Aug
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Bohemians W
Page 1 of 6

Shelbourne W

(Away)
03 Oct
Waterford W
0 : 4
Shelbourne W
27 Sept
Athlone W
1 : 3
Shelbourne W
19 Sept
Shelbourne W
2 : 4
Shamrock Rovers W
12 Sept
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 0
Shelbourne W
05 Sept
DLR Waves W
1 : 3
Shelbourne W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athlone W 20 16 3 1 47:14 51
2 Shelbourne W 20 12 5 3 40:19 41
3 Galway United W 20 11 6 3 27:16 39
4 Shamrock Rovers W 20 10 4 6 39:23 34
5 Sligo Rovers W 20 8 7 5 35:28 31
6 Wexford W 20 8 6 6 34:25 30
7 Treaty United W 20 8 6 6 25:18 30
8 Bohemians W 20 6 5 9 22:29 23
9 Peamount W 20 5 3 12 23:38 18
10 Waterford W 20 3 6 11 17:40 15
11 DLR Waves W 20 4 2 14 12:35 14
12 Cork City W 20 1 3 16 13:49 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)