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Treaty United W vs Wexford W Prediction & H2H Stats

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National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Breslin C.
45' Event
Smyth-Lynch M.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Treaty United W and Wexford W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Treaty United W
30%
Draws
39%
Wexford W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wexford W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wexford W come out ahead of Treaty United W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wexford W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Treaty United W Clean Sheet 20%
Wexford W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United W Wexford W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League Women
Wexford W vs Treaty United W
4:2
May 23, 2026 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Wexford W
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League Women
Wexford W vs Treaty United W
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Wexford W
1:4
Jul 27, 2024 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Wexford W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Breslin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wexford W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyth-Lynch M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United W 20 / 100
Wexford W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United W Wexford W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wexford W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wexford W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Treaty United W found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Treaty United W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United W VS Wexford W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 1
Treaty United W
19 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Peamount W
12 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 4
Athlone W
05 Sept
Galway United W
0 : 0
Treaty United W
29 Aug
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Bohemians W
Page 1 of 6

Wexford W

(Away)
03 Oct
Peamount W
1 : 2
Wexford W
26 Sept
Wexford W
3 : 0
Galway United W
19 Sept
Wexford W
2 : 2
Sligo Rovers W
12 Sept
Bohemians W
1 : 0
Wexford W
05 Sept
Wexford W
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athlone W 20 16 3 1 47:14 51
2 Shelbourne W 20 12 5 3 40:19 41
3 Galway United W 20 11 6 3 27:16 39
4 Shamrock Rovers W 20 10 4 6 39:23 34
5 Sligo Rovers W 20 8 7 5 35:28 31
6 Wexford W 20 8 6 6 34:25 30
7 Treaty United W 20 8 6 6 25:18 30
8 Bohemians W 20 6 5 9 22:29 23
9 Peamount W 20 5 3 12 23:38 18
10 Waterford W 20 3 6 11 17:40 15
11 DLR Waves W 20 4 2 14 12:35 14
12 Cork City W 20 1 3 16 13:49 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)