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Trefelin vs Garden Village

Wales Wales

Division 1
Tue, May 12, 2020
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trefelin host Garden Village in the Division 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Trefelin have averaged 2.42 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Garden Village's 1.6 scored and 1.85 conceded. Past meetings favor Trefelin slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.42 xG vs 0.94) point toward Trefelin. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Trefelin
20%
Draws
48%
Garden Village
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Garden Village

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Trefelin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Trefelin a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 20%
Garden Village Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Garden Village
Matches Played 40 20
Wins 28 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.42 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2020 Division 1
Trefelin vs Garden Village
0:0
Nov 15, 2019 Division 1
Garden Village vs Trefelin
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 36 / 100
Garden Village 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Garden Village

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trefelin's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Garden Village let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Garden Village lost 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
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Garden Village

(Away)
18 Oct
Garden Village
2 : 4
Glynneath Town
20 Sept
Cwmbach Royal Stars
3 : 4
Garden Village
14 Aug
Garden Village
2 : 3
Goytre AFC
06 Mar
Garden Village
0 : 4
Pontardawe
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
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