Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trefelin vs Goytre Utd

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Robbins A.
59' Event
Smith C.
78' Event
Bevan J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Trefelin and Goytre Utd finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Trefelin
20%
Draws
60%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goytre Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Goytre Utd haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Trefelin's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Cymru South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • History favors Trefelin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 20%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Goytre Utd
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 23 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.24 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Goytre Utd
3:2
Nov 8, 2024 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Trefelin
1:3
Mar 29, 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Goytre Utd
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Goytre Utd vs Trefelin
1:3
Aug 11, 2023 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Trefelin
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trundle L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Goytre Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Robbins A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 36 / 100
Goytre Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Trefelin found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (37 games).

Goytre Utd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS Goytre Utd
4 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 8

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanelli 30 18 10 2 64:25 64
2 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 17 8 5 53:33 59
3 Newport City 30 16 6 8 50:32 54
4 Trefelin 30 15 8 7 54:41 53
5 Pontypridd United 30 16 5 9 54:44 53
6 Cambrian United 30 13 11 6 50:38 47
7 Carmarthen Town 30 12 9 9 55:44 45
8 Baglan Dragons 30 11 10 9 44:34 43
9 Llantwit Major 30 11 10 9 37:34 43
10 Ammanford Town 30 11 3 16 47:50 36
11 Afan Lido 30 8 10 12 44:51 34
12 Caerau Ely 30 9 5 16 42:43 32
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 9 3 18 39:62 30
14 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 30 7 7 16 30:57 28
15 Goytre Utd 30 6 5 19 41:72 23
16 Taffs Well 30 3 6 21 32:76 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)