Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Piper R.
51'
51'
Berry S.
80'
80'
Thomas D.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2022/2023 game between Trefelin and Pure Swansea finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pure Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Trefelin come out ahead of Pure Swansea on wins alone.
- 55% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
- Regular Cymru South 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trefelin | Pure Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.16 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Pure Swansea vs Trefelin
1:6
Mar 25, 2023 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Pure Swansea
2:2
Aug 19, 2022 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Trefelin
2:4
Feb 12, 2022 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Trefelin
3:3
Oct 23, 2021 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Pure Swansea
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Piper R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thomas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Pure Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Berry S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orme A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trefelin 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trefelin Pure Swansea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Trefelin scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Pure Swansea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Trefelin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Trefelin VS Pure Swansea
0.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Trefelin
(Home) 26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1 Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
Pure Swansea
(Away) 25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
20 Sept
Abercarn United
1 : 2 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 78:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Llanelli | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63:34 | 62 |
| 3 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 72:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 66:41 | 52 |
| 5 | Cambrian United | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 47 |
| 6 | Afan Lido | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 61:52 | 47 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 46:40 | 45 |
| 8 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 62:53 | 38 |
| 9 | Pontardawe | 30 | 12 | 1 | 17 | 51:73 | 37 |
| 10 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Taffs Well | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 50:54 | 32 |
| 12 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 45:67 | 32 |
| 13 | Abergavenny Town | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35:60 | 32 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 47:70 | 27 |
| 15 | Pure Swansea | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 30:64 | 26 |
| 16 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 33:67 | 24 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)
