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Trefelin vs Taffs Well

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Saunders C.
90' Event
Davies J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Trefelin and Taffs Well finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Trefelin
20%
Draws
60%
Taffs Well
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taffs Well

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trefelin come out ahead of Taffs Well on wins alone.
  • Trefelin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 68%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Taffs Well
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 2.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Taffs Well
2:0
Oct 4, 2024 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Trefelin
3:3
Jan 13, 2024 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Trefelin
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Taffs Well
1:1
Feb 25, 2023 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Taffs Well
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Saunders C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Taffs Well Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 95 / 100
Taffs Well 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Taffs Well

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trefelin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taffs Well let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Trefelin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Taffs Well registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
Page 1 of 6

Taffs Well

(Away)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanelli 30 18 10 2 64:25 64
2 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 17 8 5 53:33 59
3 Newport City 30 16 6 8 50:32 54
4 Trefelin 30 15 8 7 54:41 53
5 Pontypridd United 30 16 5 9 54:44 53
6 Cambrian United 30 13 11 6 50:38 47
7 Carmarthen Town 30 12 9 9 55:44 45
8 Baglan Dragons 30 11 10 9 44:34 43
9 Llantwit Major 30 11 10 9 37:34 43
10 Ammanford Town 30 11 3 16 47:50 36
11 Afan Lido 30 8 10 12 44:51 34
12 Caerau Ely 30 9 5 16 42:43 32
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 9 3 18 39:62 30
14 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 30 7 7 16 30:57 28
15 Goytre Utd 30 6 5 19 41:72 23
16 Taffs Well 30 3 6 21 32:76 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)