Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Thomas K.
21'
21'
Bowen L.
31'
31'
Brock T.
AI Match Summary
Trefelin in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ynyshir Albions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Trefelin have won more games recently than Ynyshir Albions.
- Ynyshir Albions are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Trefelin have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 14%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trefelin | Ynyshir Albions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2026 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Trefelin
0:5
Nov 26, 2022 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Trefelin
2:3
Aug 29, 2022 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Bowen L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brock T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Ynyshir Albions Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trefelin 19 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trefelin Ynyshir Albions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Trefelin scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Ynyshir Albions let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Trefelin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trefelin VS Ynyshir Albions
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Trefelin
(Home) 26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1 Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
Ynyshir Albions
(Away) 26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
