Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Vångavallen

Trelleborg

4 - 1

Tvaaker

Our Tip

Match Events

Sjoland M.

10'

Karlsson V.

Assist: Poppler V.

15'

Brannefalk J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trelleborg in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trelleborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Trelleborg

22%

Draws

18%

Tvaaker

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tvaaker lately — more wins on the board than Trelleborg.
Trelleborg are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Trelleborg have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Trelleborg Clean Sheet 20%

Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trelleborg	Tvaaker
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	10	16
Draws	9	5
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra

Trelleborg vs Tvaaker

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

4:1

Aug 20, 2024 Svenska Cupen

Tvaaker vs Trelleborg

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

1:3

Aug 21, 2019 Svenska Cupen

Tvaaker vs Trelleborg

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson V.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gabrielsson O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjoland M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trelleborg 58 / 100

Tvaaker 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trelleborg Tvaaker

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Trelleborg's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tvaaker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Trelleborg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trelleborg VS Tvaaker

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	14	9	5	0	33:12	32
2	AFC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28:16	27
3	Atvidaberg	14	7	5	2	30:18	26
4	Lunds Bois	14	7	5	2	26:16	26
5	Rosengard	14	6	4	4	23:19	22
6	Hassleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27:22	21
7	Tvaaker	14	6	3	5	17:19	21
8	Eskilsminne	15	6	2	7	25:28	20
9	Olympic	14	6	1	7	22:24	19
10	Jonkoping	14	5	3	6	20:15	18
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22:22	16
12	Skovde	14	3	7	4	11:20	16
13	Kristianstad	15	3	5	7	16:24	14
14	Laholms	14	4	1	9	21:29	13
15	Trollhattan	14	2	7	5	18:26	13
16	Utsikten	14	1	1	12	10:39	4