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Trem vs Independente AP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana
Trem Logo

Trem

1 - 1
FT
Independente AP Logo

Independente AP

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Soares dos Santos A.
23'
Risuenho J.
36' Event
Tavinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Amapaense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Trem
30%
Draws
35%
Independente AP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Trem have won more games recently than Independente AP.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Amapaense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Trem Clean Sheet 12%
Independente AP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem Independente AP
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Amapaense
Trem vs Independente AP
1:1
Apr 8, 2025 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Trem
0:2
Mar 11, 2024 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Trem
1:0
Aug 3, 2023 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Trem
3:3
Jul 27, 2023 Amapaense
Trem vs Independente AP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trem Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares dos Santos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Independente AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 35 / 100
Independente AP 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem Independente AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trem scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Independente AP has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Trem stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS Independente AP
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Trem

(Home)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7

Independente AP

(Away)
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Jose 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Santos AP 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Independente AP 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
5 Trem 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Macapa 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
8 Cristal AP 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Amapaense (Play Offs)