Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trem vs Santana EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
dos Santos Moreira D.
34' Event
Mauro Praia
39' Event
Tacio

AI Match Summary

Trem in this Amapaense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Trem
15%
Draws
57%
Santana EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Trem have won more games recently than Santana EC.
  • Santana EC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Amapaense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Trem have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Trem Clean Sheet 10%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem Santana EC
Matches Played 60 32
Wins 33 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.98 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Amapaense
Trem vs Santana EC
5:1
Feb 15, 2024 Amapaense
Trem vs Santana EC
5:0
Jun 21, 2023 Amapaense
Trem vs Santana EC
6:0
Jul 7, 2022 Amapaense
Trem vs Santana EC
2:2
Apr 28, 2022 Amapaense
Trem vs Santana EC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trem Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza Sacramento E. H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos Moreira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Santana EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavio Tico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 22 / 100
Santana EC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem Santana EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santana EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trem scored in 83% of their last 60 games.

Defensive concern: Santana EC conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Trem remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS Santana EC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trem

(Home)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 12

Santana EC

(Away)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
Promotion - Amapaense 2025 (Play Offs)