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Trento vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Briamasco, Trento
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Match Events

73' Event
Procaccio A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Trento
35%
Draws
23%
Desenzano Calvina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Trento haven't matched Desenzano Calvina's recent run of results.
  • Trento are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Desenzano Calvina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Desenzano Calvina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Trento Clean Sheet 20%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trento Desenzano Calvina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Trento vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1
Aug 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Desenzano Calvina vs Trento
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trento Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Desenzano Calvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Procaccio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 42 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trento Desenzano Calvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trento scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Trento remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Desenzano Calvina let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Trento VS Desenzano Calvina
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trento

(Home)
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

Desenzano Calvina

(Away)
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -